Forward Observer SITREP

Hey Keshav,

This is Jason from Forward Observer, I'm in charge of sending out the weekly FO Situation Reports, or what we call the FO SITREP. It's our weekly newsletter where our staff writes about SHTF intelligence, security, and defense issues.

I'm a firearms instructor, competitive shooter, and NASM-certified personal trainer and Strength Coach, currently living in the American Redoubt. I also write for several firearms industry magazines, and look forward to working with Forward Observer.


From the Editor:


Something came across my desk last week and I felt that it was important enough to share in this week's newsletter. Before we get to that, however, I wanted to let everyone know that we've brought on Jason Torran to help out with the newsletter.

NATO Preparing for Future Conflict in Europe

We've seen an increase in rhetoric from NATO countries, whose leaders are explicitly concerned about future Russian incursions into Europe. Simply put, Russian rhetoric signals that its operations in Europe are far from over, and NATO countries, in return, are preparing for war. But where NATO, and the U.S. for that matter, is especially lacking compared to their Russian adversaries is counterintelligence and electronic and cyber warfare capabilities. Based on significant amounts of open source reporting, we assess that Russia's asymmetric capabilities -- especially electronic and cyber capabilities -- are currently outmatching NATO's ability to counter attacks. That's why we see the rush to play catch up before a potential conflict breaks out. We absolutely believe that a hot conflict between NATO and Russia is possible. Because European nations have been so reliant on the U.S. for defense of its continent, and U.S. budget cuts affecting overall military readiness, we should be preparing for several things should war break out.

Last fall, we reported that NATO was opening up a counterintelligence (CI) school in Poland -- the first CI school specifically focused on preparing NATO partners to defend against Russian intelligence operations. The project was spearheaded by Poland and Slovakia, and both countries are experiencing significant amounts of Russian intelligence activity inside their borders. The center is undoubtedly aimed at reducing Russian influence and identifying Russian assets operating in Eastern Europe.

Earlier this month, Denmark quietly announced that its Defense Intelligence Service issetting up a school to recruit and develop hackers for national defense. This "hacking academy" is going to be producing personnel who are more and more likely to be using their skills against Russian adversaries. It certainly looks like NATO countries are preparing for further conflict with Russia.

Should war break out, there are some implications that are likely to be felt at home. We expect the possibility that cyber attacks will affect the U.S. homeland, as well as European nations. Any option to degrade U.S. command, control, communications, and decision-making that Russia has is an avenue that will be seriously considered. That could mean cyber attacks against economic or financial targets, or military command and control hubs like bases or satellites. We could even expect psychological operations targeting the American public. Given Russia's stiff upper lip through criticism from the "global community" during its Ukraine and Syria operations, we should expect that Putin does not cave into pressure, even as his actions against the U.S. also affect the world. In other words, a war fought in Europe will certainly affect us here at home, even if indirectly. Systems disruption, including of the oil/energy and financial sectors, is a scenario for which we should be preparing, especially if conflict is likely to break out. We'll continue to monitor the situation for our subscribers.

Samuel Culper | Editor


Intelligence Essentials for Community Security:

There are few greater examples of leadership right now than preparing your community today for tomorrow's emergency. Here are five areas where veterans, patriots, and preparedness-oriented Americans should work together to build an intelligence capacity for community security.

If you're not very familiar with intelligence, then it's your job as a leader to become familiar and get someone on your team trained up to fill the role of S2. We're not talking about being James Bond or leading top secret missions; instead focus on conducting threat analysis and developing early warning intelligence. It's the S2's job to immediately begin contributing to these areas for a future SHTF event.

Learn More


FO Subscription Update

As you know, our normal rate for access to Forward Observer is $10/month. This week we are announcing our new annual rate of just $99/year! Not only will you get access to all of our Intelligence and Threat Reporting, you will get access to:

  • Forward Observer Library, which includes hundreds of manuals, intel reports, white papers, with new documents uploaded each month
  • Lessons Learned Archive, which specifically covers intelligence and security, and focuses on learning to identify points of failure and avoid painful mistakes
  • Regional Threat Analysis, available in the American Redoubt, Texas, Appalachian Redoubt (Summer 2016), and a weekly infrastructure report
  • Weekly Executive Intelligence Summary (EXSUM), which covers national-level trends and intelligence, SHTF Preparedness issues, and is delivered weekly to your inbox

As we continue to develop Forward Observer, our subscribers will continue to get value-added content, and some of the first access to our classes throughout this next year. If you are serious about SHTF preparedness, your mind is your greatest weapon. Use it:Subscribe to Forward Observer today!



30 Mar 2016