My intent is to incorporate solution for UNCERTAINTY in warfare in existing Doctrine. Uncertainty leads to Surprise , something which is the primary Endeavour of any Commander in warfare. Indications and Warning surely affords a solution , but indications and warning often leads to a reactive intelligence collection. we wait until a new capability or weapons system is discovered , that capability or system is implemented by the enemy with devastating results , still we cannot counter it as it being new we do not have a defense system nor a counter-system , and by the time we develop it they have either have had sufficient time to test it practically on us and develop it further or we have had terrible losses in our armed forces , installation , C2 nodes or for that matter overall defeat. Had we incorporated adaptability , creativity , exploration , continual experimentation , critical reviews of existing tactics , techniques , procedures and SOPs in light of intelligence information about an asymmetric enemy with our counterintelligence being totally offensive to get us information on plans before the indicators surface (that’s why I said reactive intelligence collection--before the indicators surface we know nothing of their plans) then we wouldn't be taken by surprise and we would have been prepared for that new developed capability or weapons system.
Tactical combat-point of engagement.We have a repository of tactics , laid down the ages by different types of combat scenarios.In order to counter an enemys attack we resort to an arrangement of methods known as tactics.We cannot depend on one particular tactic.What we have is a menu..We simply choose which one suits the current tactical/operational environment to inflict a defeat on the enemy.We can never have a surety of which tactic to use in the case of asymmetric warfare , each application is unique.It could be that previously the tactic was used with success in one particular type of combat situation.It could very well be the asymmetric enemy has adapted itself to most of our existing tactics and invented their own newer tactics and here we are caught badly;we have nothing in the menu to choose from.An adaptive enemy can inflict havoc if our doctrine is not flexible..Is tuned to conventional form of warfare.We should remember UNCERTAINTY leads to a lapse in the situational awareness and development of the commander , thus he does not know what to plan , and thereafter what tactics , techniques or procedures he will employ.Doctrine SHOULD focus well on a WARNING system.To envisage and implement a good warning system so as to reduce the critical factor uncertainty and hence eliminate SURPRISE , we need a solid proactive intelligence setup in place with a robust counterintelligence framework....Read more